tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3817639835630563103.post1882947857781080357..comments2023-04-17T02:14:47.087-07:00Comments on Madden-Julian Conversation: Leaving the MaldivesAdamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06360196047159387762noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3817639835630563103.post-83814644037868708022011-11-16T18:56:59.930-08:002011-11-16T18:56:59.930-08:00Hi Mike,
Before enhanced convection really got go...Hi Mike,<br /><br />Before enhanced convection really got going in the Indian Ocean, most models actually predicted a complete collapse of intraseasonal variability in the tropics (based on the Wheeler and Hendon diagnostics applied to forecast fields). Thus, the vast majority didn't do a great job of predicting this event initiation (most of their ensemble members were very consistent). There were some exceptions. The NICAM model did seem to want to produce an event initiation.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02929699647462521563noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3817639835630563103.post-47254573823645348132011-11-16T10:52:37.504-08:002011-11-16T10:52:37.504-08:00Eric, the initiation of this event sounds fascinat...Eric, the initiation of this event sounds fascinating... did any of the forecast models manage to predict its onset?Mike Pritchardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02765229903394366689noreply@blogger.com